Office landlord McKay's results were flat as a pancake. Adjusted net asset value (NAV) on an EPRA basis increased from 223p to 224p over the six months, while underlying pre-tax profits were maintained at £2.5m. Inevitably, the dividend was also flat.
But this picture of stagnation masks a divergence in the underlying portfolio, which is split between London and the south-east. McKay's London properties rose 2.6 per cent in value, but these gains were offset by losses elsewhere as lease contracts crept inexorably towards expiry or break.
The risk that tenants exploit these so-called 'lease events' to move out or renegotiate rents is a serious one, with implications both for cash flow and property values. McKay secured eight new lettings and two lease renewals in the six-month period, but at a discount to the previous estimates of rental value. Nor were these lettings sufficient to stop the portfolio void rate rising from 10.9 per cent to 13.5 per cent. Lloyds Banking Group exercised a break option on a sizeable office on Blackfriars Road, which should be easier than most to fill, but McKay will still have to shell out for a refurbishment job to make the office attractive to new occupiers.
As usual, McKay's statutory results were heavily skewed by accounting losses on its interest-rate hedges, as the prospect of rate increases grew more distant over the period.
House broker Oriel Securities downgraded its March 2012 adjusted NAV estimate from 234p to 225p.
MCKAY SECURITIES (MCKS) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
ORD PRICE: | 119p | MARKET VALUE: | £55m | |
TOUCH: | 117-120p | 12M HIGH / LOW | 135p | 110p |
DIVIDEND YIELD: | 7.0% | DEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES: | nil | |
DISCOUNT TO NAV: | 25% | |||
INVESTMENT PROPERTIES: | £208m | NET DEBT: | 130% |
Half-year to 30 Sep | Net asset value (p) | Pre-tax profit (£m) | Earnings per share (p) | Dividend per share (p) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | 163 | -12.1 | -26.5 | 2.7 |
2011 | 161 | -14.0 | -30.5 | 2.7 |
% change | -1 | - | - | - |
Ex-div: 30 Nov Payment: 12 Jan |