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Progress brewing after Punch Taverns' strategy shift

The pub group's new operating models are proving popular and management is confident it won't suffer too much under laws that allow the beer-tie to be cut
April 20, 2016

The glass seems half full over at pub group Punch Taverns (PUB) as the new man at the pumps, boss Duncan Garrood, puts his plan into action. The group has overhauled the way it operates in light of government legislation allowing publicans to unknot themselves from the so-called beer tie. Management says 370 pubs could opt to go it alone in the 2017 financial year and 270 per year in the following four. It's optimistic that the Punch Buying Club, which reduces the price for publicans of drinks through to utility bills, will help encourage them to maintain the status quo.

IC TIP: Hold at 101p

The 'retail contract' option, where Punch retains the sales and cost of sales but pays the publican a percentage out of which to remunerate staff, has proved popular, providing a sales and profit uplift. A total of 121 pubs are expected to go this way, from 50 now. Its core estate saw like-for-like net income rise 1.6 per cent. But this was helped by 240 of its lower profit pubs being shifted to a new division, called Mercury, which applies a reduced cost operating model. This also houses the 499 non-core pubs from the former 'turnaround' division.

House broker Numis expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £50.9m in the 2016 financial year, leading to EPS of 18.1p, compared with £60.9m and 25p in FY2015.

 

PUNCH TAVERNS (PUB)
ORD PRICE:101pMARKET VALUE:£224m
TOUCH:101-103p12-MONTH HIGH:140pLOW: 92p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:353pNET DEBT:£1.2bn

Half-year to 5 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2015222349198nil
20162135526nil
% change-4-84-87-