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Idox needs the election boost

But the general election is expected to provide a recovery in the second six months of the group's financial year
June 6, 2017

In its full year to October 2017, Idox (IDOX) will benefit from the UK's general election. The group provides information management solutions to a number of local councils and has 82 per cent revenue visibility for its election services subsidiary in the second half. However, in these half-year results, the benefits are yet to come through and election revenue fell 44 per cent to £2.3m, leaving total group like-for-like revenue down 2 per cent.

IC TIP: Buy at 69p

On a reported basis, Idox's numbers were enhanced by three acquisitions made in the last 12 months which contributed £7.9m of revenue and £1m of adjusted cash profit. However, these new businesses have resulted in a substantial increase in sales, staff and administrative expenses, while restructuring costs nearly doubled to £394,000. That said, even on an adjusted basis, pre-tax profit fell 12 per cent to £6.9m.

But management expects a change of fortune in the second half thanks to the pick-up in higher-margin election sales and the first full six months contribution of the new health division, which contributed £3.4m to the top line since its acquisition in February. Broker N+1 Singer is also confident about sustained annual profit growth and has retained its forecasts for the year to October 2017. Pre-tax profit is expected to be £21.2m, giving EPS of 4.2p (from £16.7m and 4p in FY2016).

IDOX (IDOX)

ORD PRICE:69pMARKET VALUE:£280m
TOUCH:68.8-70.8p12-MONTH HIGH:78pLOW: 56p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.5%PE RATIO:28
NET ASSET VALUE:22p*NET DEBT:31%

Half-year to 30 AprTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201637.26.51.710.35
201744.24.10.870.39
% change+19-38-49+10

Ex-div: 5 Oct

Payment: 18 Oct

*Includes intangible assets of £118m, or 29p a share