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Stobart dividend reliant on disposals

The logistics group is doing a lot of things right, but the dividend remains reliant on selling assets
May 16, 2016

Preliminary results for Stobart Group (STOB) were full of highlights, underlined by year-on-year increases in cash profits at each of the logistics group's divisions. But the biggest contribution to the 98 per cent hike in underlying profit before tax to £18.4m was the upward revision in property valuations in the infrastructure division. Most notably, a facility in Speke in Liverpool acquired just last year for £17.6m is already worth £9.1m more, and could be sold for £37m by June if tenant Ford Motors elects to purchase the site.

IC TIP: Hold at 111p

Asset disposals have also benefited the investments division, which sold the UK Stobart Automotive business and generated £4.3m cash for the group through the profitable sale of two older aircraft. The wider aviation division, which operates London Southend airport, also managed to boost underlying profits despite declining passenger numbers, though talks are progressing to attract more operators to the airport. Elsewhere, efforts to grow third-party customer use of Stobart Rail were rewarded with a 37 per cent increase in revenues, and a £68m order book including long-term infrastructure projects for Network Rail.

Analysts at Stifel are forecasting an adjusted pre-tax profit of £18m in the year to February 2017, which gives EPS of 3.5p, compared with 3.9p in FY2016.

 

STOBART (STOB)

ORD PRICE:111pMARKET VALUE:£380m
TOUCH:110-111p12-MONTH HIGH:115pLOW: 95p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.4%PE RATIO:41
NET ASSET VALUE:120p*NET DEBT:12%

Year to 29 FebTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit £m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201249229.28.56.0
2013†773.01.06.0
201499-10.2-3.16.0
2015117-9.4-2.46.0
201612710.02.76.0
% change+9---

Ex-div: 16 Jun

Payment: 8 Jul

*Includes intangible assets of £113m, or 33p a share

†Restated to classify part sale of transport and distribution business