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Daily Mail reworks its headlines

Daily Mail & General Trust continued to transform its business, but progress has been slow
November 27, 2015

Much to the chagrin of newspaper and magazine publishers, the ubiquity of free news and entertainment online has made consumers loath to open their wallets. Daily Mail & General Trust (DMGT), publisher of the eponymous daily as well as the Mail on Sunday and the Metro, has responded by pruning its portfolio of newspaper assets while investing in events, digital content and software and expanding overseas. But the new businesses are still struggling to compensate for declines in print revenue, and underlying operating profit slid 4 per cent to £277m in the year to 30 September. Investors responded by sending its shares down 5 per cent.

IC TIP: Hold at 660p

Underlying sales crept up 1 per cent due to strong demand for digital advertising, subscription content, events and transactions. But that was offset by a patchy performance from the risk management software division, reflecting weaker demand from reinsurers, consolidation among customers and higher costs associated with flagship offering RMS(one). A poor showing from subsidiary Euromoney Institutional Investor compounded the problem.

The Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers gained market share, but lower circulation and print advertising revenue meant underlying sales fell in the media division. However, operating profit leapt 15 per cent to £95m, reflecting lower newspaper costs and growth at MailOnline. The news and entertainment website attracted 13.4m daily unique browsers in September - up more than a fifth.

Another bright spot was DMGT's information business, where underlying operating profit rose 9 per cent to £73m. That partly reflected strong sales growth at energy information business Genscape, which cashed in on surprisingly strong demand in the oil, solar, marine-shipping and North American gas markets. And although low energy prices depressed bookings for key industry events, underlying profit soared in the events business as visitors flocked to Big 5 Dubai, ADIPEC and other tentpole exhibitions.

DMGT also tidied up its portfolio, making £143m-worth of disposals and spending £123m on acquisitions. But the recent sale of its stake in Local World, together with a weaker outlook for Euromoney and margin pressures, prompted Numis analysts to slash their forecasts. They now expect EPS of 54p this financial year (from 59.7p in FY2015).

DAILY MAIL & GENERAL TRUST (DMGT)
ORD PRICE:716pMARKET VALUE:£2.6bn
TOUCH:714.5-716p12-MONTH HIGH:990pLOW: 648p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3%PE RATIO:15
NET ASSET VALUE:90p*NET DEBT:153%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20111.7512629.717.0
20121.7520352.018.0
20131.6717932.119.2
20141.8126761.420.4
20151.8421646.221.4
% change+2-19-25+5

Ex-div: 3 Dec

Payment: 12 Feb

*Includes intangible assets of £1.3bn, or 394p a share