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AG Barr meets challenges head on

The group has managed to improve its cash position despite numerous external challenges
March 29, 2017

Drinks company AG Barr (BAG) has had to struggle with price deflation, the imminent sugar tax and the devaluation of sterling. It has responded admirably, not least with its announcement that by Autumn 2017 90 per cent of its brands will contain less than 5g of sugar per 100ml, the threshold for the proposed levy. It has also restructured, reducing its employee base by around 100. This cost £3.3m, but is expected to generate annual savings of £3m.

IC TIP: Hold at 568p

Revenues fell slightly over the year, with top lines weaker at the carbonates and still drinks divisions. Carbonates shrank from £190m in 2016 to £188m in the reported period, as a result of both retailers' range reductions and discounted competitors for its Rockstar energy drinks. At least the cocktail mixers business, Funkin, delivered good growth over the year, with revenues up 27 per cent, ahead of the launch of its first branded consumer retail product this spring.

Free cash flow was up £15m to £43.2m, which helped move the balance sheet from a net debt to net cash position. Management was confident enough to announce a share buyback programme of up to £30m over the next two years.

Analysts at Shore Capital are forecasting adjusted profit before tax of £43.9m, giving adjusted EPS of 30.1p in 2018 (from £42.4m and 30.1p in 2017).

A.G. BARR (BAG)

ORD PRICE:568pMARKET VALUE:£663m
TOUCH:567-568p12-MONTH HIGH:615pLOW: 455p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.5%PE RATIO:18
NET ASSET VALUE:156p*NET CASH:£9.7m

Year to 28 JanTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201323831.621.910.0
201425434.324.411.0
201526138.626.012.1
201625941.329.613.3
201725743.130.814.4
% change-1+4+4+8

Ex-div: 11 May

Payment: 9 Jun

*Includes intangible assets of £106m, or 91p a share