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Randgold pushes for scale benefits

RESULTS: The rapid expansion of Randgold Resources's production base should partially offset the negative effects of weakening gold prices.
February 4, 2014

Despite a pronounced dip in earnings, the latest full-year report from Randgold Resources (RRS) demonstrates that the miner, unlike some sector peers, is well placed to offset weakening gold prices by driving production, while keeping a lid on unit costs.

IC TIP: Hold at 4,260p

A steep rise in ore grades, together with a maiden contribution from the Kibali mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo, enabled Africa-focused Randgold to increase gold output by 15 per cent through 2013 to 910,374 ounces. Continued upgrades at the Loulo/Gounkoto mining complex should result in a 27 per cent increase in output this year, taking the mid point of management guidance.

Admittedly, this rapid expansion is placing a severe strain on the balance sheet. Randgold generated $464m (£283m) in operating cash flow through the period, but a total capital expenditure bill of $743m at Kibali resulted in a net cash outflow of $336m. And group-wide capital outlay of $340m is expected for 2014.

The production surge also had the desired effect on fourth-quarter unit costs, which fell by 5 per cent on the preceding three months to $628 an ounce. Still, a 17 per cent reduction in Randgold's received gold price heavily impacted the bottom line.

RANDGOLD RESOURCES (RRS)
ORD PRICE:4,260pMARKET VALUE:£3.9bn
TOUCH:4,259-4,263p12-MONTH HIGH:6,465pLOW: 3,600p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.7%PE RATIO:23
NET ASSET VALUE:3,112¢NET CASH:$37m

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20090.431068617.0
20100.5114511420.0
20111.1349742040.0
2012 (restated)1.1854847050.0
20131.1440230250.0
% change-4-27-36-

Ex-div: 12 Mar

Payment: 30 May

£1 = $1.64