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Thomas Cook's returning dividend is a good signal

The tour operator has restored its dividend, having mothballed shareholder payouts back in 2011
November 24, 2016

There was cheer in the cabin at Thomas Cook (TCG) as the recently loss-making airline returned to the dividend roster after suspending payouts in 2011. Revenue and operating profit dropped marginally, but the latter was supported by a net £26m benefit from its cost-cutting drive. This helped offset reduced demand for holidays to Turkey and the impact on its Belgian business from the Brussels airport attack.

IC TIP: Buy at 78.45p

There are other encouraging signs from an operational perspective. Gross margins rose 80 basis points to 23.4 per cent thanks to record underlying profit margins in its UK and northern European divisions. This suggests it managed capacity well - providing more space on routes to places such as the Canary Isles and the US as terrorist-hit locations suffered - and greater use of its own-brand hotels.

Its fuel costs dropped by £90m in the year and should fall another £35m in the current financial year. Earnings should also be supported by the positive translation of its euro-based income into sterling, which provided a £39m boost this term.

Analysts at Numis expect pre-tax profit of £203m in the year to September 2017, leading to EPS of 11.1p, compared with £168m and 8.5p in FY2016.

THOMAS COOK (TCG)
ORD PRICE:78.45pMARKET VALUE:£1.2bn
TOUCH:78.45-78.6p12-MONTH HIGH:125pLOW: 53p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.6%PE RATIO:98
NET ASSET VALUE:24p*NET DEBT:33%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20129.20-337-50.1nil
20139.31-158-16.7nil
20148.59-114-8.2nil
20157.83501.6nil
20167.81420.80.50
% change-0-16-50-

Ex-div: 9 Mar

Payment: 5 Apr

*Includes intangible assets of £3.1bn, or 200p a share