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Key brands disappoint for Diageo

A fall-away in sales for key brands in the US and China hit Diageo's interim figures, although the booze giant did report an upswing in demand during the second quarter - perhaps a sign of better things to come.
January 29, 2015

Interim figures for Diageo (DGE) supported the group’s pre-Christmas warning of a slowdown in the US spirits market. The global liquor giant posted an 18 per cent drop in operating profits to £1.67bn, as sales for major brands contracted despite a resurgent US economy.

IC TIP: Hold at 2000p

Despite the successful implementation of further cost efficiencies, group margins were hit by a sharp reduction in whisky shipments, along with the one off impact on sales from the change in the distribution system in Canada. Profits were also held in check by negative translation effects brought about by sterling’s appreciation against a range of emerging market currencies. And while Diageo did report improved trading during the second quarter, the group is still faced with unfavourable demand trends in the key US market.

Diageo generates around a third of its sales in North America, but a fall-away in demand for the Captain Morgan, Smirnoff and Johnnie Walker brands meant that regional sales were down by two per cent on last year. The Smirnoff label continues to suffer as drinkers across the Atlantic have apparently lost their taste for vodka. Meanwhile, consumer demand for Johnnie Walker - another of Diageo’s ‘global brands’ – was not only sluggish in the US but also in China, hitherto a key growth market. Sales for the blended whisky were down 15 per cent - enough to leave chief executive Ivan Menezes with an enduring hangover.

BTIG Research Estimates forecast adjusted 2015 EPS of 101p.

DIAGEO (DGE)
ORD PRICE:2,000pMARKET VALUE:£50bn
TOUCH:1,999-2,000p12-MONTH HIGH:2,055pLOW: 1,690p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.7%PE RATIO:26
NET ASSET VALUE:287p*NET DEBT:127%

Half-year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£bn)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20138.02.167.519.7
20148.71.652.321.5
% change+9-23-23+9

Ex-div:26 Feb

Payment:07 Apr

*Includes intangible assets of £11.4bn, or 453p a share