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High-yielding Interserve shrugs off Middle East concerns

Interserve's reported solid full-year figures despite analyst concerns over its Middle Eastern remits
February 24, 2016

Interserve (IRV) improved across a range of metrics through 2015, with strong profitability from its support services, international construction and equipment services businesses. UK construction was the only laggard within the group structure. Top-line growth in tandem with an increase in marginal profitability resulted in a 28 per cent increase in full-year gross profits to £423m. The market is, however, likely to remain circumspect given that underlying growth this year could be constrained by the impact of the National Living Wage.

IC TIP: Buy at 399p

Analysis from Liberum in February cast doubt on the sustainability of Interserve's revenue streams from its Middle East operations. Chief executive Adrian Ringrose insists that the group's exposure is justified by long-term infrastructure expansion in the region. Having secured contracts with BP Khazzan (Oman), Shell GTL (Qatar) and the Dubai Aviation City Corporation (UAE), Mr Ringrose might have grounds for his confidence.

The group has also commenced a strategic review of the equipment services business RMD Kwikform, with disposal touted as a possible option. The business has become highly profitable and operates as a standalone unit, so it’s conceivable that Interserve could unlock substantial value from any third-party deal.

JPMorgan Cazenove anticipates EPS of 63.1p in 2016, rising to 66.9p the following year.

INTERSERVE (IRV)
ORD PRICE:399pMARKET VALUE:£579m
TOUCH:397-399p12-MONTH HIGH:673pLOW: 343p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.1%PE RATIO:8
NET ASSET VALUE:345p*NET DEBT:60%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20111.8567.046.019.0
20121.9618013020.5
20132.1968.139.121.5
20142.9161.932.223.0
20153.2079.547.524.3
% change+10+28+48+6

Ex-div: 31 Mar

Payment: 20 May

*Includes intangible assets of £520m, or 358p a share.