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Experian back to growth targets

Experian has stabilised its margins and is back within its target organic growth range, but the group still faces several headwinds.
November 11, 2015

Experian's (EXPN) performance at the half-year mark has been held back by a decline in its North American consumer services business and weak market conditions in Latin America. The credit ratings agency has also fallen prey, albeit indirectly, to a data breach by hackers, who acquired the credit details of millions of US T-Mobile customers in October. However, during the first half of this year the group managed to move into the lower end of its target range for organic revenue growth, achieving a 4 per cent increase at constant currency (CC) exchange rates. This was driven by the group's core North American credit services business, which grew CC revenue by 8 per cent. Group operating profit grew marginally to $556m (£369m), reflecting a 10 basis point increase in the margin to 27.5 per cent.

IC TIP: Sell at 1223p

The North American consumer services business continued to struggle as its legacy 'free' products dragged on revenue. However membership of its paid-for Experian.com brand grew by a fifth. Despite difficult trading conditions, Latin American sales continued to grow, while the region's credit services business grew by 7 per cent thanks to strong demand for countercyclical products. Closer to home, the UK's decision analytics business benefited from a good performance from its identity management software and strong credit reference volumes.

Bloomberg's consensus adjusted EPS comes in at 90.4¢ for the March 2016 year-end, down from 95.3p in 2015.

EXPERIAN (EXPN)

ORD PRICE:1,221pMARKET VALUE:£11.9bn
TOUCH:1,221-1,222p12-MONTH HIGH:1,264pLOW: 976p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.1%PE RATIO:26
NET ASSET VALUE:231p*NET DEBT:148%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
20142.390.5341.812.25
20152.240.4634.312.50
% change-6-14-18+2

Ex-div: 3 Jan

Payment: 29 Jan

*Includes intangible assets of $5.7bn, or 586¢ a share £1=$1.54