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Hays makes merry on the continent, to make up for the UK

The recruiter has delivered a solid performance on the back of strong net fee income growth in Continental Europe and the US
September 1, 2016

Apart from a reduction in operating cash flow, shareholders would have difficulty in pinpointing any metrics from Hays ' (HAS) full-year returns that wouldn’t instil a general sense of wellbeing. Yet you’re still left with the feeling that the recruiter remains circumspect over its immediate prospects. That’s probably explicable in terms of post-Brexit uncertainties, particularly with regard to the issue of ‘passporting’ for the UK financial services sector, while the domestic construction and property markets have also suffered in the aftermath of the vote. Those matters are out of management’s control, but these figures certainly suggest that the right levers are being pulled within its sphere of influence.

IC TIP: Hold at 125p

The group posted a 7 per cent increase in net fee income to £810m on a like-for-like basis, with the rate of growth applicable to both its permanent and temporary recruitment segments. The inherent benefits of Hays' geographic spread were apparent, with strong growth in Europe and North America more than offsetting broadly flat income in the Asia-Pacific region and in UK/Ireland. According to Paul Venables, Hays' finance chief, the domestic market had exhibited signs of weakness well in advance of June's referendum.

Both Hays’ German and US operations recorded double-digit growth, though it was the group’s French business that turned in the standout performance with a 17 per cent rise in net fee income. France’s unemployment rate dipped below 10 per cent for the first time since 2012, but Hays’ progress across the channel has more to do with the continued successful rollout of its contracting model. Hays has captured market share in the republic at a prodigious rate by tailoring its contract and temporary models to fit the country’s exacting labour laws.

Around half the growth in continental Europe’s fee income during the period was attributable to companies utilising employment outsourcing for the first time, confirmation perhaps that employers are looking to gain more control over fixed costs through flexible labour strategies.

UBS anticipates diluted EPS of 7.89p in the year to June 2017, on net earnings of £114m, falling to 7.62p in FY2018 (FY2016: 7.31p).

HAYS (HAS)
ORD PRICE:125pMARKET VALUE:£1.79bn
TOUCH:125p-126p12M HIGH / LOW:164p91p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%PE RATIO:15
NET ASSET VALUE:32p*NET CASH:£36.8m

Year to 30 JunTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20123.651225.52.50
20133.701195.12.50
20143.681326.12.63
20153.841567.42.76
20164.231738.52.90
% change+10+11+14+5

Ex-div:13 Oct

Payment:11 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £242m, or 17p a share.