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Why Dignity is doing a good job of managing expectations

The funeral provider is battling tough comparative figures from an exceptional 2015
July 29, 2016

Half-year results from funeral service provider Dignity (DTY) are largely as expected. Last year recorded an exceptionally high number of deaths which, unsurprisingly, handed Dignity a great set of results for 2015. But bosses warned at the close of that financial period the death rate would slow in 2016. It's done just that, with the number of deaths down 4.7 per cent to 302,000, and a total of 36,700 funerals conducted during the period, a 7 per cent reduction year-on-year.

IC TIP: Hold at 2,683p

It's logical, therefore, to see a dip in group revenues and profits. On an underlying basis, however, and comparing the numbers with 2014 - a much better comparator for the current death rate - operating profits rose 22 per cent in the first half and underlying earnings per share by 45 per cent.

Death rates will continue to normalise in the second half of the year, but management is still committed to growing EPS by 10 per cent a year. In the meantime, the group has spent over £5m on six new funeral locations and is finalising construction plans on two new crematoria sites for which it has planning permission.

Broker Investec Securities expects pre-tax profit of £70.3m for the year ending December 2016, giving EPS of 111p (from £72.2m and 114p in FY2015).

DIGNITY (DTY)
ORD PRICE:2,683pMARKET VALUE:£1.33bn
TOUCH:2,678-2,683p12-MONTH HIGH:2,870pLOW: 2,182p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.6%PE RATIO:24
NET ASSET VALUE:*NET DEBT:£491m 

Half-year to 24 JuneTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201515945.071.07.1
201615841.565.97.9
% change--8-7+10

Ex-div: 22 Sep

Payment: 28 Oct

*Negative shareholders' funds