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Dubai reforms set to boost NMC

RESULTS: United Arab Emirates-based private healthcare operator NMC looks well placed to benefit from Dubai's decision to roll out mandatory healthcare insurance
February 25, 2014

Dubai's decision to roll out mandatory healthcare insurance is good news for United Arab Emirates-based private healthcare operator, NMC Health (NMC). That should boost patient numbers once those Dubai residents currently without medical cover (around 66 per cent of the population) prepare to join the scheme this year.

IC TIP: Buy at 454p

Even before that, the group has been growing solidly. NMC's healthcare division, for instance, grew patient numbers by 9.5 per cent in 2013 to 2.1m, which boosted revenue per patient by 5.6 per cent to $112 (£67). The division's revenues, which are generated from operations in Abu Dhabi, Al Ain, Dubai, Sharjah and Umm Al Quwain grew 15 per cent to $289.3m.

NMC has also grown its reputation as a pharmaceuticals distributor. Top-line growth in the distribution division accelerated by 10.7 per cent to $300.2m in 2013, and plans to open a new general hospital in Dubai should also help to bolster NMC's market share. Moreover, that's just one of three new hospitals, and a medical centre, that are due to join NMC's portfolio this year

The construction timescale here, however, will have implications for forecasts. Broker Numis Securities currently expects EPS for 2014 to fall to 34.9ȼ and believes estimates could be reduced once construction plans are updated.

NMC HEALTH (NMC)

ORD PRICE:454pMARKET VALUE:£843m
TOUCH:451p-454p12-MONTH HIGH:506pLOW: 263p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.0%PE RATIO:21
NET ASSET VALUE:208ȼNET DEBT:16%

Year to 31 DecTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (ȼ)Dividend per share (p)
201144443.833.1nil
201249059.834.34.10
201355169.136.74.40
% change+12+16+7+7

Ex-div: 28 May

Payment: 3 Jul

£1=$1.66