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Intu looks expensive

Intu keeps spending money on acquisitions, but as yet has failed to gain much traction
March 2, 2015

Shares in Intu Properties (INTU) fell nearly 5 per cent after the shopping mall landlord delivered a sub-par performance last year. Aside from a £568m uplift on the portfolio value, which was buoyed by the regional property recovery, there was not much to cheer.

IC TIP: Sell at 361p

The company has been selective in replacing tenants following a spate of retail bankruptcies in 2012-13. Signing up the likes of Hugo Boss, Superdry and Footasylum has succeeded in keeping rents high - 210 new long-term contracts were signed last year at an average 5 per cent premium to the previous passing rent - but at the expense of occupancy, which remains stubbornly low at 95 per cent. As a result, like-for-like net rental income - a measure of underlying top-line growth - fell by 3.2 per cent, and adjusted EPS fell to 13.3p, leaving the dividend uncovered.

Despite this dreary performance, Intu stayed busy raising finance to make more acquisitions. Raising £500m in a rights issue last April and extending debt facilities by £424m enabled the group to buy an interest in two UK shopping centres as well as one in Northern Ireland. The group still has the highest loan-to-value ratio in the sector, at 44 per cent.

Investec is reviewing its forecasts, but currently expects adjusted net asset value of 407p at the year-end (from 379p in 2014).

INTU PROPERTIES (INTU)
ORD PRICE:361pMARKET VALUE:£4.8bn
TOUCH:360.5-360.8p12-MONTH HIGH:377pLOW: 270p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.8%TRADING PROPERTIES:nil
PREMIUM TO NAV:4% 
INVESTMENT PROP:£8.9bn*NET DEBT:91%

Year to 31 DecNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)**Dividend per share (p)**
201030144662.213.7
2011311272.613.7
201231615316.013.7
201333336334.513.7
201434759448.013.7
% change+4+63+39-

Ex-div: 16 Apr

Payment: 28 May

*Includes joint ventures **Prior figures adjusted for April 2014's rights issue