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IAG grows profit despite revenue dip

The British Airways owner appears to be getting things back on track since veering off course following last year's referendum
February 24, 2017

Shares in British Airways (BA) owner International Consolidated Airlines (IAG) rose 2 per cent on the back of these full-year results. Momentum improved during the final quarter, and both BA and Aer Lingus performed well. Guidance over what investors can expect in 2017 was - unsurprisingly for IAG - limited at this point, although bosses say they expect a modest uptick in operating profits this year despite consensus estimates forecasting flat growth. It's also planned that the group will buy back €500m (£423m) of shares.

IC TIP: Buy at 515p

On an adjusted basis, operating profits for 2016 came in at €2.54bn, up 8.6 per cent year on year and pretty much bang in line with expectations. However, exchange rates put a €460m dent in the reported figure. Chief executive Willie Walsh said that was mostly down to the substantial devaluation in the pound following last year's referendum, but insisted that IAG had made "good progress" despite the "challenging environment". Crucially, since warning in October that ticket prices might rise as a result of sterling's fall, a sharp drop in fuel costs - normally charged in US dollars - has helped counter some of the adverse currency movement. What's more, the group managed to grow annual profits despite a 1.3 per cent dip in revenues, the result of passenger unit revenue per available seat falling 10.4 per cent in aggregate.

Last year IAG carried more than 100m passengers - double the number British Airways and Iberia carried in total in 2010, the year before IAG was created. As such, it's hardly surprising to see a 4.3 per cent rise in IAG's capacity recorded last year, although encouragingly a load factor of 81.6 per cent remains flat year on year and above the International Air Transport Association (IATA) average. IAG's capacity growth also looks conservative against the wider industry rise of 6.2 per cent.

Prior to these results, analysts at Liberum expected EPS of 81.4¢ for the year ending December 2017, compared with 88.5¢ in 2016.

 

INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES (IAG)

ORD PRICE:515pMARKET VALUE:£10.9bn
TOUCH:514.5-515p12-MONTH HIGH:565pLOW: 335p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.9%PE RATIO:7
NET ASSET VALUE:253¢*NET DEBT:144%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (€bn)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201218.1-0.77-36.7nil
201318.60.236.6nil
201420.20.8348.2nil
201522.91.8073.520.0
201622.62.3693.023.5
% change-1+31+27+18

Ex-div: tbc

Payment: tbc

*Includes intangible assets of €3.04bn, or 143¢ a share £1 = €1.18