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Weak Russia weighs on ITE

Geopolitical strife in Russia and Ukraine has taken its toll on ITE
December 2, 2014

Falling oil prices, a fickle rouble and economic sanctions on Russia conspired to send operating profit at ITE (ITE) down 7 per cent to £42m. The international exhibition group earns nearly 60 per cent of its revenues from the troubled nation, which is slated to fall into recession next year.

IC TIP: Hold at 150p

Adjusting for event timings and excluding acquisitions, ITE's sales in Russia fell 9 per cent, amid weak demand from the construction and energy industries. Meanwhile, tensions in Ukraine sent revenue from eastern and southern Europe tumbling 39 per cent, and headline pre-tax profits took a £4m hit from currency movements. The current year hasn't begun much better, with like-for-like, constant-currency revenues down 9 per cent. However, ITE has already booked £81m in revenues, or just over half of the market's full-year target.

ITE attempted to offset its problems in Europe by spending £50m on acquisitions in new territories and industries. It bought a 50 per cent stakes in Chinacoat, a surface finishing event, and Indobuildtec, the leading construction event in Indonesia. It has also acquired Beauty Eurasia, an Istanbul-based cosmetics and beauty fair, and Eurasia Rail, a Turkish transport and logistics exhibition. But financing this strategy hit the balance sheet, with £23m in net cash turning to £15m in net debt.

Broker Investec forecasts pre-tax profits of £52m in 2015, giving EPS of 17p.

ITE (ITE)
ORD PRICE:150pMARKET VALUE:£375m
TOUCH:149-150p12-MONTH HIGH:316pLOW: 142p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.9%PE RATIO:11
NET ASSET VALUE:42p*NET DEBT:14%

Year to 30 SepTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201011431.310.05.7
201115539.112.86.1
201217240.513.06.5
201319243.914.27.0
201417541.513.87.4
% change-9-6-3+6

Ex-div: 07 Jan

Payment: 09 Feb

*Includes intangible assets of £102m, or 41p a share