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Afren under siege

Afren has reduced its full-year guidance, suspended yet more directors, and reported a sharp drop in profits at the half-year mark.
September 1, 2014

The market value of Afren (AFR) is down by a third since it suspended chief executive Osman Shahenshah and chief operating officer Shahid Ullah in July. Unfortunately, Afren’s delayed half-year report came a day after news that the beleaguered oil and gas group had suspended associate directors Iain Wright and Galib Virani as part of its ongoing investigation into the unauthorised payments allegedly received by Messrs Shahenshah and Ullah.

IC TIP: Hold at 97p

If the boardroom drama wasn’t bad enough, Afren also revealed that its interim operating profits had nearly halved to $165m (£99m). The fall-away was primarily due to a reduced share of production from the flagship Ebok field in Nigeria. Afren’s total working-interest production came in at 33,488 barrels of oil per day (bopd) – a 25 per cent reduction on the 2013 interim rate. Afren did receive an extra $4 for every barrel of oil it sold during the period, but comparable operating cash flows were still down by 37 per cent to $354m.

To top it off, the group has also been forced to suspend work on the Barda Rash oil field in Kurdistan in reaction to the parlous security situation in the region. As a result, management has reduced its full-year guidance to between 32,000 and 36,000 bopd - from an initial forecast of 40,000 bopd.

AFREN (AFR)
ORD PRICE:97pMARKET VALUE:£1.1bn
TOUCH:96-97p12-MONTH HIGH:171pLOW: 90p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NILPE RATIO:3
NET ASSET VALUE:177¢*NET DEBT:41%

Half-year to 30 JuneTurnover ($m)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
20137972605.8nil
201456513314.6nil
% change-29-49+152-

Ex-div:-

Payment:-

£1 = $1.66. *Includes intangible assets of $1.08bn, or 98¢ a share.