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JD Sports rewarded for record results

Shares in the sportswear retailer shot up in reaction to these strong annual numbers
April 11, 2017

Shares in retailer JD Sports (JD.) leapt 10 per cent following these record results. Revenues of £2.4bn came in ahead of analysts' forecasts, leading to a remarkable 81 per cent improvement in pre-tax profits (see table). However, executive chairman Peter Cowgill admits the group's performance - like many of its rivals - will still be subject to external pressures this year, notably an inflated cost base as a result of the devaluation in sterling against currencies, including the US dollar.

IC TIP: Buy at 447p

That said, the company does enjoy a slight natural hedge thanks to its euro-denominated businesses, where product is sourced from the UK. But the weakening of sterling against the US dollar will cause some pressure on gross margins later this year. Management is confident it can work with suppliers to mitigate the effect, although chief financial officer Brian Small hinted at the possibility of price increases as well: "It's not a JD-specific problem," he said, "and at some point inflation will have to have an impact on the consumer". Last year gross margins nudged up from 48.5 per cent to 48.9 per cent, and Mr Small seems confident that JD's young customer base will cough up for pricier items because they're "obsessed with brands".

The group's extraordinary growth is a result of the 'athleisure' streetwear trend, an increasing contribution from online sales and some well-timed acquisitions. Aside from the dominant leisure segment, its 'outdoor' business lines registered an operating profit for the first time. Mr Small expects the acquisition of retail chain Go Outdoors - announced towards the end of last year - to lift figures for the 2018 financial year. As far as fickle fashion trends go, Mr Small isn't too worried about falling out of favour. "The long-term trend has been towards casual wear, and I don't see that reversing any time soon," he said.

Analysts at Peel Hunt didn't expect this level of profit growth until next year, and have thus upgraded forecasts for the year ending January 2018. The broker now expects adjusted pre-tax profits of £275m and EPS of 22.3p (£245m and 19.5p in FY2017).

JD SPORTS FASHION (JD.)

ORD PRICE:447pMARKET VALUE:£4.35bn
TOUCH:447-448p12-MONTH HIGH:451pLOW: 207p
DIVIDEND YIELD:0.3%PE RATIO:24
NET ASSET VALUE:57pNET CASH:£214m

Year to 28 JanTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
2013*1.2655.14.01.32
2014*1.2276.85.81.36
2015*1.5290.57.01.41
20161.8213210.01.48
20172.3823818.41.55
% change+31+81+83+5

Ex-div: 22 Jun

Payment: 31 Jul

*EPS and DPS figures adjusted for 5:1 share split in Nov 2016