Join our community of smart investors

Punch delivers debt blow

Pub operator Punch Taverns is finally getting its huge debt pile under control
November 12, 2014

The painfully large annual loss reported by pub operator Punch (PUB) is hardly surprising, reflecting a raft of exceptional items such as capital restructuring costs and asset writedowns. Yet cash profit actually fell just 5 per cent to £205m. And, crucially, a capital restructuring programme was voted through in October - since the period under review ended - which cut the net debt burden by almost £0.6bn to £1.5bn.

IC TIP: Hold at 146p

The deal involved a debt-for-equity swap which, admittedly, meant significant equity dilution for existing shareholders: Punch's bondholders now hold around 85 per cent of the group. But it does leave Punch on a firmer footing, and broker Numis Securities expects the debt burden to fall by a further £80m in the coming year.

Meanwhile, like-for-like net income at the group's more profitable core estate rose 1.3 per cent. Trading should also be supported by a major investment programme: £43m was invested in the period. The disposal programme at the less profitable non-core estate is on track, too. Management raised £111m in the period by selling 285 pubs, and disposal proceeds are expected to be at least £60m in the current financial year.

Numis expects adjusted pre-tax profit of £60.5m for 2015, giving EPS of 23.8p (from £38.7m and 91.7p in 2014).

PUNCH TAVERNS (PUB)

ORD PRICE:146pMARKET VALUE:£324m
TOUCH:146-148p12-MONTH HIGH:340pLOW: 122p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:123pNET DEBT:£2.1bn**

Year to 23 AugTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)†Dividend per share (p)
2010653-130-500nil
2011607-335-2,696nil
201249252.4154nil
201345816.662nil
2014448-240-526nil
% change-2---

*Includes intangible assets of £173m, or 78p a share

†Adjusted for one-for-20 share consolidation

**Prior to October's 2014's debt-for-equity swap