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Impairments hammer BHP, which has a long road back

It's proving a familiar refrain, but the miner's valiant efforts to reduce costs are struggling to match price declines
August 16, 2016

BHP Billiton (BLT) may have slashed underlying unit cash costs for each of its major commodities, but that matters little when average prices have declined precipitously. And while the Anglo-Australian miner's full-year results were never going to make for easy reading, investors looking for a bullish tone were disappointed by chief executive Andrew Mackenzie’s suggestion that "commodity prices are expected to remain low and volatile in the short to medium term".

IC TIP: Hold at 1027p

The income statement was also hammered by adjustments. After tax allowances, exceptional items wiped $7.7bn (£5.9bn) from the bottom line, thanks to a costly $4.9bn impairment to the company's onshore US shale assets and the $2.2bn in impairments and provisions set aside for last November's iron ore tailings dam failure at Samarco, Brazil. Even on an underlying basis, attributable profit declined by a whopping 81 per cent in the period, explaining the miner's decision to slash the final dividend to 14¢ per share. And while there was no increase in net debt from the half-year stage, this should be seen in the context of a 42 per cent decline in capital and exploration expenditure to $6.4bn.

*For a special podcast assessing whether BHP is primed for a recovery, click here.*

One source of optimism came in the copper division, which despite witnessing a drop in average realised prices from $2.78 per pound to $2.14, managed to beat unit cash cost guidance by 6 per cent at $1.20 per pound. Higher concentrate throughput at the Escondida mine - which last year accounted for 62 per cent of underlying cash profits from copper - is expected to push unit costs back to just $1.00 in the 2017 financial year. Against this backdrop, Mr Mckenzie singled out copper and petroleum as the commodities which should rebalance quickest, though the longer-term outlook for iron ore remains choppy.

Prior to these results, analysts at Canaccord Genuity were forecasting adjusted EPS of 56¢ for the year to June 2017, against 20¢ in FY2016.

 

BHP BILLITON (BLT)

ORD PRICE:1,027pMARKET VALUE:£60.8bn
TOUCH:1,024-1,027.5p12-MONTH HIGH:1,204pLOW: 572p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.3%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:1,020¢*NET DEBT:43%

Year to 30 JunTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201267.023.9291112
201363.119.7211116
201456.821.7260121
201544.68.0635.9124
201630.9-7.26-12030
% change-31---76

Ex-div: 1 Sep

Payment: 20 Sep

£1 = $1.30 *Reflects both UK and Australia-listed shares.