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Berkeley Group delivers

Berkeley goes from strength to strength and has hinted at the possibility of more supersize dividends ahead.
December 5, 2014

Further evidence, if any were needed, of the effervescent London housing market came with these half-year figures from London-focused housebuilder Berkeley Group (BKG). Operating profit rose by over three-quarters to £300m and the underlying pre-tax return on equity jumped from 25 per cent to 29.2 per cent.

IC TIP: Buy at 2,641p

Half-year sales totalled 2,294 units, of which 1,372 were sold in London and the south east at an average price of £649,000 a unit. It also disposed of 534 properties from its rental portfolio to M&G Investments - mainly outside London - at an average selling price of £197,000 each, resulting in an overall average selling price of £350,000. Despite a £3.4m increase in overheads, a change in the sales mix also lifted the underlying operating margin from 20.7 per cent a year earlier to 23.3 per cent.

Shareholders were rewarded with another 90p a share dividend, too, which leaves 90p outstanding in order to meet the first milestone of returning 434p a share by September 2015. Thereafter, a further 433p is targeted for payment by September 2018 and another 433p by September 2021. Furthermore, the group has significant visibility over future cash flow, with money due on forward sales up by £419m at £2.69bn. Given the strong cash generation, Berkeley hinted that this could lead to further dividend payments or a share buyback programme. Land holdings rose to over 24,000 plots, with a future anticipated gross margin of £3.2bn.

Analysts at UBS are forecasting full-year cash profit of £375m and diluted EPS of 188p (from £280m and 140p in 2014).

BERKELEY GROUP (BKG)
ORD PRICE:2,641pMARKET VALUE:£3.58bn
TOUCH:2,637-2,644p12-MONTH HIGH:2,808pLOW: 2,033p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.8%PE RATIO:9
NET ASSET VALUE:1,159pNET CASH:£148m

Half-year to 31 OctTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20130.8217010090
20141.0230517990
% change+24+79+79-

Ex-div: 18 Dec

Payment: 23 Jan