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HSBC still faces regulatory headwinds

HSBC is battling to restore investor confidence after a string of regulatory failings.
February 23, 2015

Shares in HSBC (HSBA) fell nearly 6 per cent in morning trading after the global banking conglomerate reported a sharp fall in pre-tax profits for last year to $18.7bn, well below consensus forecasts of $20-$22.5bn. Other key metrics highlight the disappointing performance: at 7.3 per cent, return on equity was down from 9.2 per cent in 2013 and woefully short of the 12-15 per cent target the group had set itself, while a cost-to-income ratio of 67.3 per cent was well above the mid-50s target.

IC TIP: Hold at 574p

Like other major banks, HSBC is steering its way through a minefield of litigation relating to trading misconduct, including possible foreign-exchange market rigging and the mis-selling of mortgage backed securities in the US. A further $1.6bn (£1bn) was set aside late last year to cover this, but even adjusted operating expenses - which strip out the fines - rose 6.1 per cent to $37.8bn.

These pressures show no sign of abating. The regulatory timetable for the current year is pretty full, as global banks progress with a root and branch programme of reforms to bolster their ability to cope with the sort of problems that emerged during the financial crash. These reforms, which inevitably require substantial investment, are expected to take another five years to complete.

On a brighter note, loan impairment charges and other credit-risk provisions fell from $5.8bn to $3.9bn as economic conditions improved. Adjusted revenue of $62bn was also marginally higher, thanks to growth in commercial banking, notably in the UK and Hong Kong. The group’s capital cushion, or tier-one capital ratio, edged up from 10.8 per cent to 10.9 per cent, confirming HSBC's status as one of the world’s best capitalised lenders.

On a divisional level, the commercial banking business delivered record profits, but revenues from retail banking and wealth management fell. Again, the pressures here reflect the implementation of tougher controls as well as the sale of a number of businesses and customer portfolios.

Subject to review, the analysts at Investec are forecasting pre-tax profits of $23.6bn for the current year and EPS of 86.9¢.

HSBC HOLDINGS (HSBA)
ORD PRICE:574pMARKET VALUE:£110bn
TOUCH:574.2-574.3p12-MONTH HIGH:665pLOW: 570p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.6%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:991¢ 

Year to 31 DecPre-tax profit ($bn)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201019.07334
201121.99239
201220.67441
201322.68449
201418.76950
% change-17-18+2

Ex-div: 5 Mar

Payment: 30 Apr

£1=$1.54