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Why Brexit and a tough market have crunched Carpetright

The UK's vote to leave the European Union has put major uncertainty on the outlook for several consumer stocks
June 28, 2016

Carpetright (CPR) chief executive Wilf Walsh says he "wish he knew" what Brexit means for companies like his. Consumer uncertainty and increased competition mean trading after the period-end has been challenging, as evidenced by a like-for-like sales drop of 7.6 per cent in May, before rebounding 6.3 per cent in June.

IC TIP: Buy at 217p

Mr Walsh says he is "extremely disappointed on a personal level" about the outcome of the referendum, but the priority is making the business as resilient as possible amidst the uncertainty surrounding the UK's access to the single market. That uncertainty isn't to be underestimated: the group's shares took a major tumble just five days on from the vote.

The market appears to be focused on two concerns. The first is poor consumer confidence in the UK which would hinder underlying sales growth, as well as the fact that Carpetright operates 137 stores across the rest of Europe. During the period, at least, like-for-like sales rose 2.8 per cent in the UK and 4.8 per cent across Europe.

Analysts at Peel Hunt cut adjusted pre-tax profit forecasts for the year to April 2017 from £22.5m to £20.5m, giving EPS of 22.9p (from £17.3m and 19.2p in FY2016).

 

CARPETRIGHT (CPR)
ORD PRICE:217pMARKET VALUE:£147m
TOUCH:217-226p12-MONTH HIGH:629pLOW: 217p
DIVIDEND YIELD:NilPE RATIO:15
NET ASSET VALUE:109p*NET DEBT:1.5%

Year to 30 AprTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201247213.516.4nil
2013458-5.1-9.8nil
2014448-7.2-5.3nil
2015**4706.66.7nil
201645712.814.9nil
% change-3+94+122-

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

*Includes intangible assets of £57.1m, or 84p a share

**53-week period