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Sibir back in black

Created:
26 June 2007
Written by:
Daniel O'Sullivan

Last year marked a watershed for Russia-based oil company Sibir Energy, as the ramp-up of its Salym field in western Siberia saw annual group production increase 150 per cent to 9.9m barrels and cash earnings increase sevenfold to £87m. So, although it doesn't enter Sibir’s top line, as it's a 50/50 joint venture with Shell, Salym has pushed the company back into the black after five years of losses. Shareholders have therefore been rewarded with a maiden dividend.

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What's more, growth at Salym will continue to boost Sibir. From a year-end group production figure of 38,901 barrels of oil per day (bopd), the current figure is 47,000bopd and it's now expected to reach 60,000bopd by the year-end. The balance sheet has been transformed, too, with a share placement paying off Salym-related debt to leave Sibir with net funds. The downstream investment in BP-branded petrol stations across Moscow is about to pay its first dividend, too, with Sibir describing their financial performance as 'truly extraordinary'.

Broker Jefferies International is anticipating full-year 2007 EPS of 35p, subject to revision following these results.

AIM: SIBIR ENERGY (SBE)
ORD PRICE: 433p MARKET VALUE: £1,372m
TOUCH: 433-434p 12-MONTH HIGH:LOW 498p 391p
DIVIDEND YIELD: 2% PE RATIO: 26
NET ASSET VALUE: 211p NET FUNDS: £6.5m

Year to 31 Dec Turnover (£m) Pre-tax profit (£m) Earnings per share (p) Dividend per share (p)
2002 22.5 -10.5 -2.1 nil
2003 17.4 -13.7 -0.8 nil
2004 168.1 -30.5 -17.3 nil
2005 357.2 -10.9 -10.6 nil
2006 604.6 58.3 16.8 7.0
% change +69 - - -

Ex-div: 01 Aug Payment: 16 Aug


IC VIEW

Buy

Russian political risks means that Sibir's shares trade on a heavy discount to the net present value of its reserves. That may be justified, but a rating of just 7.5 times 2008 earnings estimates isn't. Buy.

Last IC View: Fairly priced, 446p, 6 October 2006


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