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Carpetright continues to fray

Created:
1 July 2009
Written by:
Malar Velaigam

The continued slump in consumer spending and the housing markets have kept revenues under pressure at Carpetright. Chairman and chief executive Lord Harris warns that he does not expect a return to "more normal trading levels" for at least 12 months.

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Revenues in the UK and Republic of Ireland have fallen 13.5 per cent on a like-for-like basis to £394m, although the Sleepright acquisition - made last December - added 1.5 per cent to sales.

Trading in Europe seems to have fared slightly better, with sales in the Netherlands and Belgium up 10 per cent at constant currencies and revenues in Poland rising to £3m from £2.1m a year before. Trading is, however, expected to remain challenging in these regions.

Meanwhile, the final dividend has been slashed from 30p to just 4p. Lord Harris asserts that this is to allow the group to retain some "financial flexibility" to respond to any market opportunities that arise through the downturn. He adds that dividends will return to a greater level when a sustained recovery is evident.

Analyst John Stevenson of KBC Peel Hunt is expecting 2010 pre-tax profits of £24.9m, giving EPS of 25.9p (£17.2m and 18.2p in 2009).

CARPETRIGHT (CPR)

ORD PRICE: 562p MARKET VALUE: £379m
TOUCH: 562-563p 12-MONTH HIGH: 722p LOW: 342p
DIVIDEND YIELD: 1.4% PE RATIO: 32
NET ASSET VALUE: 100p* NET DEBT: 144%

Year to 2 May Turnover (£m) Pre-tax profit (£m) Earnings per share (p) Dividend per share (p)
2005 463 72.5 71.0 47.0
2006 451 64.2 65.0 49.0
2007 476 67.0 68.2 50.0
2008 ** 522 59.5 63.2 52.0
2009 483 16.7 17.6 8.00
% change -7 -72 -72 -85

Ex-div: 9 Sep

Payment: 25 Sep

*Includes intangible assets of £71m, or 106p a share

**For the 53-week period to 3 May

More analysis of company results


SHARE TIP UPDATE:

Sell

Shares in Carpetright are up 3 per cent since we suggested selling them (543p, 29 April 2009) and the group should benefit from the failure of rival retailers. But with trading conditions still under pressure and not expected to ease for at least a year, things are likely to get worse before they get any better. Sell.


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