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Chris Dillow

Questioning secular stagnation There's still a significant danger that real interest rates might remain negative for a very long time ...

15 October 2014

Chris Dillow

About Chris Dillow

Incisive economic commentary plus thoughts on investor behaviour

Recent articles

  1. Momentum in emerging markets

    21 October 2014

    A simple momentum strategy would have made enormous profits in emerging markets

    'Just buy what's gone up' has worked remarkably well

  2. The myth of expertise

    20 October 2014

    Fund managers aren't very good at managing their own money.

    "Wealthy investors appear to be as good individual investors as professional asset managers"

  3. Bond yields to stay low

    16 October 2014

    Low short-term interest rates around the world and a shortage of safe assets could keep real gilt yields negative for a long time.

    Japanese and euro area interest rates won't rise until 2017 at the earliest

  4. On mental accounting

    16 October 2014

    Most of us have 'mental accounts': we treat money differently depending on where it is. This might be irrational - or it might not

    A stock market gain or loss is not the same as a premium bond win. The latter is for keeps, the former not

  5. Next week's economics: Oct 20 - 24

    14 October 2014

    The UK economy is slowing down, thanks to weakness in the euro area and falling real wages.

    Weakness in the euro area threatens not just to hold back UK exports, but also capital spending, to the extent that it depresses expectations of future demand and profits.

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