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Chris Dillow

Overvalued? US share prices are high by long-term standards. But this is only a weak sell signal ...

21 March 2017

Chris Dillow

About Chris Dillow

Incisive economic commentary plus thoughts on investor behaviour

Recent articles

  1. In praise of mental accounting

    In praise of mental accounting

    23 March 2017

    Mental accounting can prepare us for retirement better than can textbook utility maximisation

    Mental accounting, far better than textbook utility maximising, saves us thinking time and imposes self-control

  2. Next week's economics: 27-31 March

    23 March 2017

    The global economy is doing well, but the UK might not fully share in this, next week's figures could show

    It's not just consumers who are reluctant to spend, however. So too are companies

  3. Trade and savings

    Trade and savings

    23 March 2017

    Trade deficits can narrow significantly if and only if domestic savings rise relative to investment. This is more likely to happen in the UK than the US

    Significant declines in trade deficits are usually accompanied by weaker domestic demand

  4. The power of imprecision

    The power of imprecision

    17 March 2017

    Precise facts can be dangerously misleading. Investors should learn to cope with imprecision and fuzziness

    If there can be knowledge of the future, it's often what Michael Polanyi called tacit knowledge - an inarticulable vague sense

  5. Next week's economics: 20-24 March

    Next week's economics: 20-24 March

    16 March 2017

    Next week could bring news of falling retail sales, but a strong manufacturing sector

    Manufacturing is only 10 per cent of the economy, and globalised supply chains mean that higher output sucks in imports, resulting in only a small rise in net output

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