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Chris Dillow

A Christmas message We might be better at making money if we try less hard to do so ...

18 December 2014

Chris Dillow

About Chris Dillow

Incisive economic commentary plus thoughts on investor behaviour

Recent articles

  1. The economy in 2015

    The economy in 2015

    19 December 2014

    Economists expect steady growth and rising inflation in 2015. But forecasts tend to be wrong.

    'The OBR expects business investment to be the motor of growth next year, rising by 8.4 per cent in real terms. But this motor might splutter a lot.'

  2. Next fortnight's economics: Dec 22 - Jan 2

    18 December 2014

    A lack of bank lending is holding back growth in the UK and euro area.

    UK manufacturing is growing much more slowly than it did earlier in 2014

  3. Ignoring politics

    18 December 2014

    If the market took the two main political parties seriously, gilt yields would be more volatile than they are.

    Whereas politicians and political reporters think there's a big difference between the two main parties, financial markets don't

  4. Next week's economics: 15-19 Dec

    11 December 2014

    Next week could see falling inflation but also glimmers of hope for the eurozone

    The Federal Reserve is expected to reinterate that interest rates won't rise "for a considerable time".

  5. Speculate to accumulate

    11 December 2014

    Equity returns are better explained by prospect theory than by conventional measures of risk.

    High risk does mean high returns - as long as we measure risk using prospect theory rather than conventional yardsticks such as volatility.

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