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Lower Logica share price likely

TIP UPDATE: IT services firm agrees "efficiency" measures on government contracts, but margins face downward pressure
September 29, 2010

After deep and meaningful conversations with cabinet office minister, Francis Maude, IT services group Logica has agreed "a number of efficiency savings" with the government that will allow it to continue to work on all of its current projects.

IC TIP: Sell at 126p

Nearly two-thirds of Logica's UK work comes from the public sector, or about 12 per cent of the group's £1.87bn first half revenue to 30 June. But this almost certainly means a 'haircut' on margins, given the lack of guidance over price details going forward. Panmure is expecting 2010 EPS of 11.7p, but has trimmed its 2011 estimate from 12.8p to 12.6p.

What we said:

When: 05/03/10

Price: 119p

Performance to date: -6%

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