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Savills bounces - for now

RESULT: Savills sees its core transaction business surge thanks to febrile property markets in Hong Kong and London, but warns that the next half will be much tougher.
August 26, 2010

Upmarket property adviser Savills benefited from a surge in property transactions in the first half, against a very weak set of comparative numbers in 2009. But chief executive Jeremy Helsby doesn't expect this to continue and the flat dividend suggests his sobering outlook statement should be taken seriously.

IC TIP: Hold at 315p

As expected, the recovery was strongest in the Asia Pacific region - where Savills has a dominant position - with transaction fees more than doubling to £44.8m. But the UK market was also very buoyant, with income from commercial deals up 38 per cent and the residential business 44 per cent higher. They more than offset ongoing losses in continental Europe to pull the core estate agency unit back into profit after its £7.6m loss in the period last year.

Savills has been investing heavily in its less cyclical property management business, hiring extra sales teams in the UK and buying an Australian company called Incoll. That paid off, with revenues up 8 per cent to £114m - 37 per cent of the group total. Margins suffered as a result, but the more regular revenue streams will be helpful if the double dip in transaction volumes appears as expected.

Broker Numis expects full-year pre-tax profits of £33.6m and EPS of 18.7p (from £25.2m and 13.5p in 2009).

SAVILLS (SVS)

ORD PRICE:315pMARKET VALUE:£415.3m
TOUCH:314.7-315.2p12-MONTH HIGH:385pLOW: 268p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.9%PE RATIO:22
NET ASSET VALUE*: 137pNET CASH:£20.1m

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20092480.10.73
201030414.47.93
% change+23+14300+1029-

Ex-div: 22 Sep

Payment: 25 Oct

*Including intangible assets of £155m, or 117p per share

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