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CWC digs deeper debt hole

RESULTS: Cable & Wireless Communications misses half-year expectations and underlying cash flow remains weak
November 5, 2010

Demerged from Cable & Wireless at the end of March, maiden first-half results from Cable & Wireless Communications (CWC) marginally missed analysts' estimates, with the group reporting $1.16bn and $424m of revenue and cash profits, respectively, against the $1.18bn and $431m market forecasts.

IC TIP: Sell at 48.25p

The Panama business was particularly disappointing. A 15 per cent decline in fixed voice revenues and slower conversion of government contracts meant cash profits of $127m were around 7 per cent below expectations, according to broker Evolution Securities. The group's Caribbean business also performed poorly mainly due to a weak economic backdrop, characterised by high unemployment, weak tourist spend and lack of development projects. The shortfall was partly offset by single-digit increases in cash profits from operations in Macau, Monaco, Guernsey and the Maldives.

The group's cash flow remains a major concern as it looks too weak to cover the $210m cost of the full-year 8c a share proposed dividend. The group highlights $296m of operating cash flow, but this translates into a net outflow of $57m after tax, interest and dividends and loans to minorities and leaves CWC nursing a larger-than-expected $900m debt pile.

Evolution predicts full-year EPS of 5.3c, falling to 4.6c in 2012, and is mulling a cut to its current 38p share price target.

CABLE & WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS (CWC)

ORD PRICE:48.3pMARKET VALUE:£1.28bn
TOUCH:48.24-48.38p12-MONTH HIGH:66p47p
DIVIDEND YIELD:10.4%PE RATIO:17
NET ASSET VALUE:32¢*NET DEBT:105%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover ($bn)Pre-tax profit ($m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (p)
20091.132193.70Na
20101.162103.301.65
% change+2-4-11-

Ex-div:10 Nov

Payment:13 Jan

*Includes intangible assets of $430m, or 16¢ a share

**Interim dividend based on exchange rate of £1:$1.617

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