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GKN set to accelerate

RESULTS: GKN looks well positioned to increase profits despite uncertain market conditions, and its shares remain a buy
February 28, 2012

Recovering consumer demand for bigger vehicles, a robust aerospace sector and the surprising resilience of farming were the diverse reasons for GKN's decent operating profits growth, up 14 per cent to £468m. The improved performance has allowed GKN to extend its balance sheet to fund acquisitions, which should help it handle mixed trading conditions this year.

IC TIP: Buy at 226p

The driveline division, which makes driveshafts and gears, was the main engine of growth, with a 10 per cent increase in underlying sales lifting its trading profits by 12 cent per cent to £195m. Exports were a big factor in the recovery as, even though eurozone demand was muted by the debt crisis, the resultant currency weakness helped boost overseas sales.

Aerospace sales were up by a more sedate 4 per cent to £1.48bn, with profits up by the same amount to £166m as lower defence spending partially offset the rapid recovery in civil aerospace. That won't matter much this year as GKN has already bagged aerospace contract extensions and orders worth $3.5bn (£2.2bn). Land systems saw sales climb by a fifth to £885m on strong demand for agricultural equipment, with acquisitions expected to add significantly to earnings this year.

Broker Investec expects pre-tax profit of £527m and EPS of 26.3p this year (from £434m and 21.7p in 2011).

GKN (GKN)

ORD PRICE:226pMARKET VALUE:£3.51bn
TOUCH:226-227p12-MONTH HIGH:249pLOW: 153p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.7%PE RATIO:13
NET ASSET VALUE:81p*NET DEBT:33%

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20073.8719918.79.10
20084.38-130-11.63.00
20094.22-54-3.2nil
20105.0834519.65.00
20115.7535118.06.00
% change+13+2-8+20

Ex-div: 25 Apr

Payment: 21 May

*Includes intangible assets of £958m, or 62p a share