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Dairy Crest eyes dairies turnaround

RESULTS: Difficult milk markets overshadow a strong performance from Dairy Crest's branded products business, but turnaround plans look encouraging
May 24, 2012

Full year results from Dairy Crest tell a familiar story: the core dairies business continued to struggle in the face of fierce competition and inflationary pressures, but that was offset by good performances from its branded cheese and spreads and meant underlying pre-tax profits were flat at £87m.

IC TIP: Buy at 324p

That's an impressive feat given the group faced inflationary pressures of £80m over the year. Those sizeable input price hikes were recovered by price increases in branded products, and cost savings, of which £22m were delivered in the 12 month period. A further £20m of savings will be delivered in the current financial year, while plans are in place to improve dairy profits - which fell 62 per cent to just £10.2m in the year - to an "acceptable" level in the coming years. These include the closure of two dairies announced after the year-end, the withdrawal from some low margin business, and some cuts to milk purchase prices as a result of recent falls in dairy commodity prices.

Meanwhile, a good performance from its French business St Hubert should help Dairy Crest achieve a good price should the business be sold as expected. However, reflecting the challenging outlook for the Dairy business, analysts at Panmure expect EPS to fall from 49.4p to 46.7p in the year to March 2013.

DAIRY CREST GROUP (DCG)

ORD PRICE:324pMARKET VALUE:£ 432m
TOUCH:323-324p12-MONTH HIGH:405pLOW: 287p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.3%PE RATIO:NA
NET ASSET VALUE:*NET DEBT:£336m

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20081.5766.040.224.4
20091.6510356.820.1
20101.6377.840.618.9
20111.6077.843.219.7
20121.63-10.1-12.820.4
% change+2--+4

Ex-div:20 Jun

Payment:02 Aug

*Negative equity shareholders funds