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PZ Cussons eyes improvement

RESULTS: PZ Cussons hopes a restructuring will underpin a return to profit growth this year, but admits that its key Nigerian market remains "fragile"
July 24, 2012

It has been a year to forget for PZ Cussons. Not only has the soap-maker had to contend with higher costs and depressed consumer spending in Australia, but also civil and economic unrest in its key Nigerian market. That, and a subsequent restructuring, put a nasty dent in profits - which more than halved. Moreover, and while PZ reckons it will return to profit growth this year, we're not convinced that headwinds from difficult markets will ease.

IC TIP: Sell at 308p

Nigeria in particular remains a potential trouble spot. Operating profit there fell 18 per cent to £33.5m, as political unrest was exacerbated by high raw material costs and the government's decision to axe a crucial fuel subsidy. Analysts are worried that the subsidy cut - which essentially doubled fuel costs - could have a lasting impact on consumer spending, while PZ itself says the situation in Nigeria remains "fragile".

However, PZ says the restructuring of its supply chain - which resulted in an exceptional charge of £27.5m last year - will underpin profit improvement this year, and noted that strong trading in the UK and Indonesia had continued in the current financial year.

Broker Shore Capital expects underlying full-year pre-tax profit of £100m and EPS of 15.5p (from £92.3m and 14.7p in 2011).

PZ CUSSONS (PZC)

ORD PRICE:308pMARKET VALUE:£1.32bn
TOUCH:307-308p12-MONTH HIGH:387pLOW: 285p
DIVIDEND YIELD:2.2%PE RATIO:38
NET ASSET VALUE:107p*NET DEBT:3%

Year to 31 MayTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200866177.011.04.70
200978284.011.65.27
201077210214.95.90
201182110816.56.61
201285948.58.036.72
% change+5-55-51+2

Ex-div: 15 Aug

Payment: 1 Oct

*Includes intangible assets of £248m, or 58p a share