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Bloomsbury second-half sequel looks better

RESULTS: Bloomsbury profits are heavily skewed towards the second half, and there's good reason to believe the publisher will deliver.
October 25, 2012

Bloomsbury (BMY) is doing a roaring trade in ebook sales which soared 89 per cent to £4.5m in the first half. Encouragingly, the higher-margin digital business should contribute much more in the firm’s second-half results, which include both January and February. “After Christmas, e-reader gifts are empty vessels for content,” says Nigel Newton, Bloomsbury’s chief executive.

IC TIP: Buy at 130p

In the six month period, underlying pre-tax profits declined 36 per cent to £2.1m, but last year’s first half was a tough comparative, boosted by book sales from the final Harry Potter movie. “Take that out,” says Mr Newton, “and profits were pretty much in line.”

To secure more predictable and global revenue streams, Bloomsbury has bolstered its position in academic and professional publishing through the acquisition of Fairchild Books and Applied Visual Arts (AVA). Both purchases give the company a stronger foothold in the US market, too, while the launch of a sales and publishing operation in India provides another avenue for growth. “We’ve made strong, strategic progress,” says Mr Newton.

Bloomsbury claims an attractive line-up for the important Christmas period, including titles from Hugh Fearnley-Whittingstall, Will Self and JK Rowling. Moreover, the publisher bats out the first ever Wisden India Cricketers Almanac (2012).

BLOOMSBURY PUBLISHING (BMY)

ORD PRICE:131pMARKET VALUE:£96.7m
TOUCH:130-132p12-MONTH HIGH:148pLOW: 90.25p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.0%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:150p*NET CASH:£10.6m

Half-year to 31 AugTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201142.41.451.450.89
201243.50.850.870.94
% change+3-41-40+6

Ex-div: 31 Oct

Payment: 30 Nov

*Includes intangible assets of £55.3m, or 75p a share

Investec Securities expects Bloomsbury will slightly increase full-year adjusted pre-tax profits and EPS to £12.2m and 12.4p, rising to £13.5m and 13.7p, respectively, in 2014.