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Greenko scores in the generation game

RESULTS: Greenko is in a sweet spot, generating green electricity in a country where demand far outstrips supply
December 14, 2012

Don't be concerned with the headline figures for Indian green tech company Greenko (GKO), which were distorted by a number of one-off items. Adjusted cash profits were actually up 46.5 per cent to €16.5m (£13.3m), despite adverse currency movements. Generating capacity rose from 183 to 289 megawatts (MW), leaving the renewable power developer on track to achieve its 1,000MW target by 2015. Management believes it will then have sufficient visibility to boost capacity further to 3,000MW.

IC TIP: Buy at 135p

The company currently has 500MW-worth of capacity under construction and an additional 850MW classed as under active development. The net book value of its assets rose 7.7 per cent over the half, driven by the rapid building programme. The ethical implications of the green tag are slightly misleading - Greenko is developing wind and hydro power because it is cheap. Imported coal can cost 5.1 rupees per kilowatt hour, for example, while Greenko can generate electricity through hydropower at 3.4 rupees.

Hydropower output rose from 104MW to 165MW, thanks to three acquisitions. While a late monsoon caused southern hydro output to fall, output in the north ran 15 per cent ahead of expectations.

Arden Partners has trimmed its full-year forecasts, but only to reflect recent adverse currency movements. It now expects adjusted pre-tax profits of €13.2m and EPS of 5.8¢, rising to €17m and 8.4¢ in 2014 (from €13.9m and 7¢ in 2012).

GREENKO GROUP (GKO)
ORD PRICE:135pMARKET VALUE:£203m
TOUCH:130-137p12-MONTH HIGH:143pLOW: 99p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:26
NET ASSET VALUE:136¢*NET DEBT:74%

Half-year to 30 SepTurnover (€m)Pre-tax profit (€m)Earnings per share (¢)Dividend per share (¢)
201119.83.091.15nil
201223.71.74-0.62nil
% change+20-44-46-

Ex-div: na

Payment: na

£1=€1.236

*Includes intangible assets of €91.2m, or 60¢ a share