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Drax "not for dividend hunters"

RESULTS: The largest coal-fired power station in Europe, Drax, is continuing with its conversion to biomass energy - but, in the meantime, expect dividends and earnings to suffer
February 20, 2013

Don’t be too concerned about the hefty headline profit slide at Drax (DRX) - which operates Europe’s largest coal-fired power station. Strip-out such factors as the hit from marking-to-markets the group’s derivative contracts and underlying earnings fell 4 per cent in 2012 to £193m.

IC TIP: Hold at 630p

That modest slippage reflects the fact that the average price received for wholesale power fell from £55.6 per MWh to £51.3MWh in the period - neither was that fully offset by cheap US gas having meant lower European coal prices. Still, forward power sales for the year ahead have risen marginally to £51.9 per MWh and Drax saw net power output rise 2.7 per cent in 2012 to a record 27.1TWh.

Drax is also continuing with plans to convert from coal to renewable biomass energy. It expects to spend £650m-£700m on this, with the first unit converting to biomass in April this year followed by another in 2014's second half. In 2013 capital expenditure of £250m-£300m is anticipated, up from £224m last year. "What investors are increasingly owning is a very interesting long-term growth story in renewable power," said finance director Tony Quinlan. "Drax in the short-term is not for dividend hunters."

Deutsche Bank expects headline pre-tax profit of £129m for 2013, giving EPS of 28.01p.

DRAX (DRX)

ORD PRICE:630pMARKET VALUE:£2.5bn
TOUCH:628-630p12-MONTH HIGH:639pLOW: 390p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.0%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:368pNET CASH:£311m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20081.7544398.043.4
20091.4815831.013.7
20101.6525552.032.0
20111.8433812727.8
20121.7819044.025.3
% change-3-44-65-9

Ex-div: 24 Apr

Payment: 17 May