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Debt drop buoys cheap STV

RESULTS: While STV may have missed full-year consensus forecasts, a larger than expected reduction in net debt is extremely encouraging and the shares surge 13 per cent to a 12-month high post results.
February 20, 2013

Scottish broadcaster STV (STVG) starts 2013 on a far firmer footing than it has been on for a number of years. The group has secured a recommendation for a 10-year license renewal for running Channel 3 and net debt has fallen from 3.1 times cash profits to a more palatable 2.3 times. There was also a strong performance from production, with revenue up 21 per cent to £10.2m, and an impressive 84 per cent rise in revenues from growth categories in digital.

IC TIP: Buy at 134p

But STV is not without its issues. Digital revenues overall fell £2.6m short of the £9.1m target and the tough economic backdrop will create a drag on broadcast revenues. What's more, advertising, which has started the year strongly, will not get the boost from the flotilla of national events that buoyed 2012.

Meanwhile, higher interest charges on a new loan arrangement almost entirely wiped out the benefit of a 14 per cent rise in operating profit on adjusted EPS, which edged up 1 per cent to 32.5p and was below consensus forecasts of 34p. This year, the replacement of 2012’s £1.3m non-cash pension credit with a £1.1m charge will hit the numbers, prompting broker Numis to lower pre-tax profits forecasts by £1m to £13.5m, giving EPS of 27.7p (2012: £14.4m and 31.3p).

STV (STVG)
ORD PRICE:146pMARKET VALUE:£57m
TOUCH:143-148p12-MONTH HIGH:146pLOW: 81.5p
DIVIDEND YIELD:nilPE RATIO:8
NET ASSET VALUE:*NET DEBT:£45.3m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20081114.93.6nil
2009906.112.3nil
20101053.914.6nil
2011102-0.91.6nil
20121039.118.3nil
% change+1 - 

*Negative shareholder funds