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Molins is smoking

RESULTS: Packaging machinery may have taken centre stage last year, but Molins' tobacco business will light up in 2013
February 27, 2013

Molins (MLIN) does much of its work for the tobacco industry, but it was the high-speed packaging machinery business that impressed most in 2012. Profit there tripled to £1.5m and a 5 per cent increase in the order book improves visibility. It's also forced earnings upgrades out of broker Canaccord Genuity, which now thinks the shares could be worth 200p.

IC TIP: Buy at 171p

Underlying pre-tax profit grew 9 per cent to £4.9m and a lower tax rate helped underlying EPS jump almost a fifth to 21.8p. Canaccord now expects a profit of £5.3m this year, giving EPS of 22p. Despite difficulty squeezing orders out of European customers, the packaging division is expected to do well again. Tobacco machinery should, too. Sales there fell 9 per cent to £31.1m last year after an order worth almost £3m was held back, yet a 10 per cent increase in sales of spare parts, mostly to cigarette makers in the Philippines and Africa, meant underlying operating profit remained at £2.2m.

But it's the Scientific Services unit that's set to excite. A new lab and lumpy work from the US Food & Drug Administration may have cut profit at its Arista Laboratories tobacco testing business by over a third to £1.2m, but Molins, with nearly two-thirds of the market, should make a fortune when a new stricter testing regime is introduced in the US. Expect an announcement in April.

MOLINS (MLIN)

ORD PRICE:171pMARKET VALUE:£34.5m
TOUCH:169-173p12-MONTH HIGH:174pLOW: 106p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.2%PE RATIO:4
NET ASSET VALUE: 151p*NET CASH:£7.4m

Year to 31 DecTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
200891.58.835.25.00
200983.82.16.309.00
201086.44.115.35.00
201189.910.437.45.25
201293.09.840.05.50
% change+3-6+7+5

Ex-div: 17 Apr

Payment: 10 May

*Includes intangible assets of £14.5m, or 72p a share