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Pennon profits punished by Viridor

RESULTS: Water utility Pennon finds the situation is far worse than expected at recycling unit Viridor, but the dividend is safe.
May 23, 2013

Water utility Pennon (PNN) reported a collapse in profits after problems at recycling unit Viridor turned out to be far worse than originally feared. The combination of a sharp fall in prices for recycled material, as China slows and the eurozone weakens, and landfill overcapacity in a sluggish UK economy led to a hefty £176m in asset write-offs. Even after adding these back, adjusted pre-tax profits still fell slightly to £198m and underlying EPS declined 9.9 per cent to 42.6p.

IC TIP: Sell at 704p

Results were once again saved by the steady returns at South West Water, where cost cutting ahead of schedule and regulatory price increases pushed adjusted pre-tax profits up 7.5 per cent to £152m. This was achieved despite falling demand as three quarters of domestic customers now have a meter.

In sharp contrast, Viridor's operating profits more than halved to £30.8m as the recycling unit suffered from overcapacity in the UK market. Average recycling revenue of £99 per tonne was down sharply on the prior year's figure of £118, with management adding there has been little recovery from December lows. Capital expenditure in new energy from waste projects rose from £143m to £323m during the year.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank forecast flat adjusted pre-tax profits of £197m and EPS of 43p for the current year.

PENNON (PNN)

ORD PRICE:704pMARKET VALUE:£2.57bn
TOUCH:702.5-703.5p12-MONTH HIGH:797pLOW: 589p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.0%PE RATIO:95
NET ASSET VALUE:211p*NET DEBT:189%

Year to 31 MarTurnover (£bn)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
20090.9615925.821.0
20101.0718640.422.6
20111.1618948.424.7
20121.2320148.126.5
20131.221.87.4028.5
% change-2-89-85+7

Ex-div: 7 Aug

Payment: 4 Oct

*Includes intangible assets of £352m, or 96p per share