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Tide's turning for world markets

May turned out to be an exceptional month for most of the world's stock markets - so much for the old adage of 'Sell in May and go away'.
June 6, 2013

There were five official IC/Coppock buy signals given in May, along with nine unofficial ones - where the indicators turned up while still in the positive phase.

Even those markets that produced sell signals for the IC/Coppock Indicators in April turned back up in May. The FTSE 100 index looked set to hit an all-time high, but it tailed off towards the end of the month and missed the record by a whisker. That said, this index is currently up 21 per cent since its buy signal was given in July 2012.

In the US, stock markets did hit new all-time highs but market environment and investors' nerves within this area were somewhat fragile and markets responded by falling in the latter part of the month. This uncertainty didn't prevent the Nasdaq 100 index from producing an unofficial buy signal for May. Other new buy signals were given for South Korea and Russia, along with the indicator for the FTSE Aim index.

 

Summary table of IC/Coppock indicators - major markets worldwide:

Index/marketMay average indexMay indicator*April indicator*March indicator*Signal†
UK Govt. Secs170.30+1.1+4.8+6.6WAIT
FT 30 2,623.53+124.9+100.2+87.5HOLD
FTSE 1006,647.35+61.7+47.5+42.3HOLD
FTSE All-Share3,503.28+70.8+56.1+50.4HOLD
FT Gold Mines1,765.84-151.7-140.5-129.5WAIT
Amsterdam556.47+57.2+48.1+46.8HOLD
ASX All Ord5,095.70+72.0+60.0+51.9HOLD
S&P/ASX 200 Energy13,183.19-29.7-38.3-37.6BUY††
Belgium S.E.9,454.04+98.7+92.0+91.7HOLD
Dax (Germany)8,317.43+116.7+105.6+106.6BUY††
Dow Jones15,172.18+68.2+60.2+57.9HOLD
Rep of Ireland (ISEQ)4,002.75+121.2+113.8+112.8HOLD
France CAC 403,968.70+84.1+64.9+56.1HOLD
Hang Seng22,933.09+69.9+61.7+61.4HOLD
Italy BCI939.88+43.7+18.1+6.7HOLD
S. Africa Gold1,427.47-149.2-130.2-117.5WAIT
S. Africa Industrial42,443.23+147.3+144.1+149.9BUY††
Straits Times3,409.05+71.9+62.1+58.8HOLD
Tokyo New S.E.1,203.38+142.4+90.1+59.0HOLD
Toronto Comp1,2585.12+17.0+9.1+6.6HOLD
Toronto Gold1,625.39-147.0-138.5-127.5WAIT
Sweden OMX1,225.90+76.2+65.3+61.3HOLD
FTSE techMARK 1002,853.09+120.8+109.3+108.0HOLD
Nasdaq 1002,981.19+62.2+61.1+72.4BUY††
*Average index for May 2013. †IC/Coppock indicator. ††Unofficial signal. BUY/SELL = self explanatory; WAIT = you sold at the last sell signal and are now waiting for the next buy signal; HOLD = you bought at the last buy signal and are now awaiting the next sell signal.

For a list of the constituents of the FTSE All-Share sector indices click here

 

Summary table of IC/Coppock indicators – FTSE All-Share sectors:

SectorMay average indexMay indicator*April indicator*March indicator*Signal†
Mining16,279.03-54.1-59.1-55.7BUY
Oil & Gas8,263.50-19.7-28.9-26.4BUY
Chemicals10,237.22+110.4+117.6+132.5WAIT
Constr & Bldg mats3,881.33+51.7+35.8+25.3HOLD
Forestry & paper10,541.80+270.6+232.3+207.8HOLD
Steel & other metals1,926.84-239.4-235.5-227.4WAIT
Aerospace & defence5,190.33+142.3+125.4+117.5HOLD
Diversified industrls3,200.05+129.9+121.6+124.4BUY††
Electronic & electr eqpt4,907.38+132.5+130.3+134.3BUY††
Eng'g & machinery9,819.27+107.3+90.5+83.5HOLD
Automobiles & parts6,941.45+149.8+111.9+95.7HOLD
H'hold goods textiles3,981.00+274.6+183.3+114.6HOLD
Beverages15,352.07+171.1+166.3+165.9HOLD
Food producers7,666.29+149.3+130.9+113.2HOLD
Health4,400.21+101.5+88.5+79.4HOLD
Personal care19,701.09-3.7-13.8-10.2BUY
Pharmaceuticals11,313.07+39.3+22.4+11.6HOLD
Tobacco40,255.62+44.9+42.7+48.3BUY††
General retailers2,283.00+153.4+133.7+129.0HOLD
Leisure & hotels6,246.86+182.9+162.3+149.6HOLD
Media ent't5,602.02+131.3+118.8+111.7HOLD
Support services5,929.71+131.8+122.9+121.9HOLD
Transport3,786.45+92.7+72.9+63.6HOLD
Food & drug rtlrs4,794.16+36.1+13.6-6.2HOLD
Telecommns svs3,566.05+171.0+150.0+140.8HOLD
Electricity9,927.87+70.3+61.7+54.7HOLD
Other utilities8,077.08+88.2+81.0+75.6HOLD
Banks5,031.60+158.6+133.1+122.1HOLD
Insurance2,013.90+116.6+106.4+98.7HOLD
Life assurance6,240.23+187.4+157.4+146.7HOLD
Investment cos7,014.57+77.2+60.9+51.1HOLD
Other finance6,064.72+160.1+121.0+100.3HOLD
IT hardware1,530.82+246.1+196.2+178.3HOLD
Software & comp svs1,189.85+157.2+144.6+142.7HOLD
*Average index for May 2013. †IC/Coppock indicator. ††Unofficial signal. BUY/SELL = self explanatory; WAIT = you sold at the last sell signal and are now waiting for the next buy signal; HOLD = you bought at the last buy signal and are now awaiting the next sell signal.

 

Summary table of IC/Coppock indicators – Emerging & other markets worldwide

Market/indexMay average indexMay indicator*April indicator*March indicator*Signal†
Argentina13,618.04+152.4+90.2+39.4HOLD
FTSE Aim722.53-22.4-29.1-28.4BUY
Brazil55,440.52-27.2-25.8-15.1WAIT
China2,565.25-15.6-21.0-26.9HOLD
Greece1,060.13+190.7+113.9+84.5HOLD
India6,074.82+80.5+69.2+69.5BUY*
Indonesia5,100.44+99.4+86.8+79.1HOLD
Israel1,093.60+37.8+33.7+33.0HOLD
Mexico12,057.97+73.2+83.4+89.1WAIT
Philippines7,212.15+188.0+174.9+168.0HOLD
Poland45,774.53+80.1+70.6+67.7HOLD
Portugal6,125.55+48.0+19.1-1.2HOLD
Russia15,171.09-46.0-53.9-52.8BUY
South Korea1,974.45+11.0+7.4+10.6BUY††
Spain853.48+23.5-10.1-31.1HOLD
Switzerland8,127.16+136.0+118.2+108.5HOLD
Thailand1,611.37+183.0+173.7+171.1HOLD
Turkey90,092.06+221.4+193.3+179.9HOLD
Venezuela749,714.90+1,368.5+1,412.3+1,470.6WAIT
*Average index for May 2013. †IC/Coppock indicator. ††Unofficial signal. BUY/SELL = self-explanatory; WAIT = you sold at the last sell signal and are now waiting for the next buy signal; HOLD = you bought at the last buy signal and are now awaiting the next sell signal.

Read previous Coppock indicators here . . .