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Macfarlane set to deliver

The UK market leader in the supply of protective packaging materials looks set to grow organically and via acquisitions in the second half
August 28, 2014

Macfarlane (MACF), the leading UK provider of protective packaging materials, requires a strong second-half performance to make up for these soft half-year figures. Having dogged the company for a few years, pricing pressure continued to drag down margins at Macfarlane's smallest division, labels, despite good sales growth of 5 per cent. At the packaging design and manufacturing division, meanwhile, sales fell by 6 per cent, mainly because a big customer relocated its facility offshore.

IC TIP: Buy at 40p

The good news was that trading in Macfarlane's core packaging distribution business was solid. Revenues climbed nearly 4 per cent, most of which was organic, although the small acquisition of Lane Packaging in May was beneficial. Nonetheless, pre-tax profits in the division were only held steady as a result of margin pressure.

Looking ahead, Macfarlane's chairman Graeme Bissett reiterated his confidence in previous full-year guidance. He said trading in July and August had been "encouraging", with margins boosted by lower raw material prices and a new printing press. The business is usually somewhat second-half weighted, because roughly 20 per cent of Macfarlane's customers are in the internet retail sector, where Christmas shopping makes up for a large proportion of orders.

Broker Arden Partners forecasts adjusted pre-tax profit of £5.7m this year, giving EPS of 3.8p, rising to £6.1m and 4p in 2015 (from £5.4m and 3.6p in 2013).

MACFARLANE (MACF)

ORD PRICE:40pMARKET VALUE:£46m
TOUCH:39-41p12-MONTH HIGH:49pLOW: 33p
DIVIDEND YIELD:4.0%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:22p*NET DEBT:46%

Half-year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201368.11.61.00.5
201470.11.20.80.5
% change+3-25-19-

Ex-div: 9 Oct

Payment: 16 Oct

*Includes intangible assets of £26.9m, or 24p a share