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Poor outlook for N Brown sends shares sliding

Despite a better second half investors have lost patience with the clothing retailer
April 21, 2016

It was not the previous financial year's performance, but the outlook that caused investors to call time-out on fashion retailer N Brown (BWNG), sending its shares down 13 per cent in early trading. With sales for the February 2017 year-end expected to be "subdued" and gross margins forecast to decrease by 50 to 150 basis points, we can hardly blame investors for jumping ship.

IC TIP: Hold at 274p

However, to its credit, N Brown has delivered on its promise to perform better in the second half of the financial year just ended. Pre-tax profit was up 11 per cent year on year in the second six months, after stripping out exceptional items. Revenue was boosted by the group's three 'power brands', which have responded well to the transition to a more online-focused business model. The financial services division also returned to growth in the second half, with revenue up 2 per cent overall.

Sales at the traditional business segment, which contributes a fifth of the overall total through Ambrose Wilson, House of Bath, Premier Man and Julipa, were down 5.5 per cent. The division includes brands that target an older demographic, and management has identified the need to serve these customers better going forward.

Broker Peel Hunt has reduced its 2017 forecasts and now expects pre-tax profit of £81m and adjusted EPS of 23p, compared with £85m and 24p the prior year.

N BROWN (BWNG)

ORD PRICE:274.4pMARKET VALUE:£778m
TOUCH:274.2-274.9p12-MONTH HIGH:400pLOW: 265p
DIVIDEND YIELD:5.2%PE RATIO:14
NET ASSET VALUE:168pNET DEBT61%

Year to 28 FebTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201275396.929.313.00
201378596.428.513.70
201481996.827.114.23
2015 (restated)83778.321.814.23
201686672.219.514.23
% change+3-8-11-

*Includes intangible assets of £125m, or 44p a share

Ex-div: 30 Jun

Payment: 29 Jul