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City of London emerges intact

City of London Investment Group has performed well, given the level of volatility in emerging markets
September 15, 2016

A year is a long time for an emerging markets asset manager, and despite the high levels of volatility City of London Investment Group (CLIG) came through the year to June 2016 in pretty good shape. Of the many influencing factors, sterling's fall against the dollar was perhaps the most significant because most of the funds under management (FUM) are in dollars. So while FUM at the year-end stood at $4bn, down from $4.2bn a year earlier, in sterling terms funds rose by 11 per cent to £3bn. And since the year-end funds have risen to $4.4bn. Happily, around 40 per cent of central costs are in sterling.

IC TIP: Buy at 375p

And while chief executive Barry Olliff's preferred management performance indicator is the share price (up 10 per cent from June 2015), it's also worth noting that the change in funds under management outperformed the MSCI emerging markets index by 7 per cent.

The group invests in closed-end funds, and the core emerging market strategies attracted net inflows of $115m, while diversification products, which now make up 9.1 per cent of FUM (up from 8.5 per cent) attracted net inflows of $10m.

Analysts at Zeus Capital are forecasting adjusted pre-tax profits of £11.2m and EPS of 33.1p for the year to June 2017 (from £8m and 23.7p in 2016).

 

CITY OF LONDON INVESTMENT GROUP (CLIG)
ORD PRICE:375pMARKET VALUE:£101m
TOUCH:360-380p12-MONTH HIGH:390pLOW: 265p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.4%PE RATIO:16
NET ASSET VALUE:50pNET CASH:£10.1m

Year to 30 JunTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201234.111.533.824
201329.48.924.924
2014*24.27.421.124
201525.48.926.424
201624.48.023.324
% change-4-11-12-

Ex-div: 13 Oct

Payment: 31 Oct

*13 months, restated