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Fenner moves up value chain

Reported numbers might not look too pretty for the Yorkshire-based industrial manufacturer, but we think there's an underlying recovery under way
November 17, 2016

Fenner's (FENR) share price has made up some ground in 2016 following precipitous declines in each of the two preceding years. Curiously, the shares gained further momentum, despite release of full-year figures that revealed a 17 per cent decline in revenues at constant currencies. Adjusted operating profits of £37.1m were down from £60.3m in the previous financial year. This apparent contradiction simply reflects growing market conviction that the group is now firmly in recovery mode.

IC TIP: Hold at 244p

Fenner, a Yorkshire-based manufacturer of industrial belts, seals and other specialist components, had foreshadowed results "towards the top of the current range of market expectations", but the full-year figures represent the first time in three years that the group has recorded half-on-half progress.

End markets remain mixed, though it's certainly true that prices and general industry sentiment are now more positive across the wider resources complex. Fenner's plans to reposition the business to take account of long-term industrial trends aren't realisable overnight, but there are signs, including a substantially reduced cost base, that indicate real progress. A focus on re-engineering and moving into new sectors is also moving the group up the value chain, aiming to expand margins across the product range and reduce vulnerability to industrial cycles.

Investec forecasts cash profits of £69m for the year ending August 2017, with adjusted EPS of 8.7p, rising to £74.5m and 11.2p in 2018 (from £63.9m and 8.1p in 2016).

 

FENNER (FENR)
ORD PRICE:244pMARKET VALUE:£474m
TOUCH:244p-245p12-MONTHHIGH:250pLOW: 95p
DIVIDEND YIELD:1.2%PE RATIO:na
NET ASSET VALUE:138p*NET DEBT:54%

Year to 31 AugTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201283188.630.310.5
201382166.422.911.3
201472929.211.712.0
2015667-5.3-5.412.0
2016573-30.3-13.63.0
% change-14---75

Ex-div: 26 Jan

Payment: 9 Mar

*Includes intangible assets of £178m, or 92p a share