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Why MedicX provides shelter from the storm

The primary healthcare property investor has the Treasury as its tenant and major sponsor
December 14, 2016

MedicX Fund (MXF) invests in purpose-built primary healthcare facilities, an area that the UK government is planning to lift from 7 per cent to 11 per cent of the NHS budget. And the arithmetic makes such a move compelling. If you go to an A&E or walk-in medical centre it costs the NHS around £124, while a visit to your GP costs £21.

IC TIP: Buy at 89.5p

With the UK Treasury as your main tenant, MedicX's revenue stream is about as safe as it gets. However, rental growth remains relatively modest. Around three-quarters of the £37.2m annualised rent roll is subject to open market review, where a limited supply of new property schemes has held back rent reviews made by district valuers, meaning open market rents rose just 0.8 per cent. However, around a quarter of reviews are linked to RPI, and these rose by 1.8 per cent, a trend that will accelerate as inflation starts to rise.

The fund has also been increasing its exposure to the Irish market, where despite some yield compression, assets acquired are still on an initial yield of nearly 7 per cent against less than 5 per cent in the UK, according to company figures.

Analysts at Peel Hunt are forecasting adjusted net asset value of 74.5p at the year ending September 2017 (from 72.1p a year earlier).

 

MEDICX FUND (MXF)
ORD PRICE:89.5pMARKET VALUE:£352m
TOUCH:88.5-89.25p12-MONTHHIGH:93pLOW: 80p
DIVIDEND YIELD:6.6%TRADING STOCK:nil
PREMIUM TO NAV:25%
INVEST PROPERTIES:£612mNET DEBT:113%

Year to 30 SepNet asset value (p)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p*)
201263.52.61.15.6
201362.29.73.65.7
201465.120.45.95.8
201569.639.19.95.9
201671.728.27.15.95
% change+3-28-28+1

Ex-div: 17 Nov

Payment: 30 Dec

*Dividends of 1.4875p paid quarterly