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Profits drop at DMGT despite robust Daily Mail performance

The newspaper publisher has survived the fall in advertising revenue, thanks to strong growth at MailOnline
May 30, 2017

In the last few years, many a newspaper has struggled with the sharp decline in demand for advertising space. The Daily Mail - the UK's second most popular paper - is no exception. Its owners, The Daily Mail and General Trust (DMGT) reported a 12 per cent decline in print advertising revenues to £71m in the six months to March 2017. Fortunately, DMGT has its MailOnline business to plug that gap. Revenues here rose 19 per cent at constant currencies to £60m, thanks to increased advertising demand, expansion in the US and the first time inclusion of Australian revenue.

IC TIP: Hold at 682p

In 2016, management also made the decision to up the cover price of their various Mail titles, which helped to offset declining circulation volumes. Total Mail business revenue was therefore flat at £293m. Metro revenue also remained robust in the period as increased circulation both in London and from four new franchises offset falling advertising sales.

The biggest disappointment in the group's newspaper business - DMG Media - was Elite Daily where falling reader numbers sent revenue down 35 per cent to £4m. But in April, management confirmed the sale of the title, following on from its divestment in Wowcher and closure of 7 days, the Dubai-based newspaper business.

But DMGT is much more than its papers and elsewhere its performance failed to impress investors. The risk management and property information divisions absorbed heavy investment, which sent underlying operating profit down 17 per cent and 12 per cent respectively. Margins remain weak in the education and energy information business, keeping its operating profit at a measly £1m. Although these challenges were partly offset by MailOnline's move towards profitability, overall group operating profit took an 11 per cent knock to £100m.

More concerning still is new chief financial officer Tim Collier's decision to lower guidance in the information and events businesses. Both are being challenged by low commodities prices, meaning revenue growth is likely to be dampened. However, management doesn't think overall group performance in the full year will be much changed and so broker Numis has retained its pre-tax profit and EPS forecasts for the September year-end at £227m and 52.7p respectively (FY2016: £260m and 56p).

DAILY MAIL AND GENERAL TRUST (DMGT)

ORD PRICE:682pMARKET VALUE:£2.3bn
TOUCH:680.5-682p12-MONTH HIGH:836pLow: 571p
DIVIDEND YIELD:3.3%PE RATIO:34
NET ASSET VALUE:314p*NET DEBT:51%

Half-year to 31 MarTurnover (£m)Pre-tax profit (£m)Earnings per share (p)Dividend per share (p)
201675617246.46.7
201779440.98.66.9
% change+5-76-81+3

Ex-div: 8 Jun

Payment: 30 Jun

*Includes intangible assets of £916m, or 272p a share