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Few companies combine upgrade and price momentum

At this late stage in the market cycle, few companies that have already seen strong share price gains are seeing their EPS forecasts upgraded too.
December 4, 2018

The Alpha momentum screens look for positive trends in earnings per share growth and forecast upgrades as well as share price growth. Few companies pass such a stringent set of criteria, especially late on in economic and stock market cycles - which explains why so few constituents of the FTSE All Share, FTSE All Small Companies and FTSE Aim All Share indices are scoring top marks. 

  • Only three FTSE All Share companies - Spirent Communications (SPT), healthcare comms specialist Huntsworth (HNT) and marketing services company 4imprint (FOUR) pass 8/8 tests and none of these are larger companies.
  • Huntsworth and 4imprint are also the only two companies included in the FTSE All Small Companies index to pass all 8 tests.
  • On Aim, motor testing systems provider AB Dynamics (ABDP), Diversified Gas & Oil (DGOC) and Gamma Communications (GAMA) are the only companies to score top marks.
  • As we are arguably at a late stage in the economic cycle, investors should ask themselves whether companies’ good runs will continue or are due a pause. For example, directors of AB Dynamics have recently cashed in on some of their shares, which should give investors food for thought.
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