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Market Outlook: Catalan separatists win

Blow to Rajoy’s PP
December 22, 2017

Yesterday’s elections, called by the government in Madrid, saw the 3 separatist parties taking 70 of the 135 seats in the regional assembly.  In theory, this should allow them to form a government but Ciudadanos, the anti-independence group picked up 37 seats, the most of any party, while the Partido Popular lost 8 of its 11 seats.  With Junts per Catalunya (34 seats) leader Puigdemont in exile in Brussels and Esquerra’s (32 seats) sacked vice-president jailed in Madrid, forming a government will not be easy ;turnout was an astounding 82 per cent.

Season’s Greetings to all readers.  The Trader will take a break next week but should be back in full swing on the 2nd January.

DAX 30

A quiet day and a little doji back inside the 12900 to 13200 range

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

FTSE 100

Bursting to a new record high but settling back inside this year’s range.

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:   Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

S&P 500

Holding at the highs and overbought.  Yesterday the US House of Representatives passed a vote to extend until January the 19th debt ceiling and avoid a partial government shutdown this weekend.  It must be ratified by the Senate today.

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

BRITISH POUND/US DOLLAR

Another little hammer in no-man’s land. 

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

EURO/US DOLLAR

The smallest of knocks from the Catalan vote.  They have until February to form a government. 

 

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

GOLD

Hovering around first Fibonacci retracement resistance.

                            

SHORT TERM TRADER:  Square.

 

POSITION TAKER:  Square.

Nicole Elliott is a long-standing Member of the Society of Technical Analysts.  She is regularly interviewed and quoted by the financial media, is a conference speaker, and author of several books on charting.