Mr Bearbull 

Forecasts and forecasting

Mr Bearbull

Mr Bearbull
Forecasts and forecasting

When the hacks descended on Dominic Cummings (pictured) last week to ask why he had hired a weirdo who was – well – just too weird, the prime minister’s special adviser referred them to Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, a book by a Canadian academic, Philip Tetlock.

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